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topicnews · October 4, 2024

Weather expert fears “increasing” winter – current data shows clear trend

Weather expert fears “increasing” winter – current data shows clear trend

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From: Dominik Jung

The forecasts have been pointing to a mild winter for weeks, and now it could also be very wet. But when will the next snow come?

Kassel – Autumn is currently showing its changing side. And the latest estimates for winter 2024/25 are anything but positive. Neither for fans of ice and snow, nor for friends of a mild winter. “The current data now also points to a very wet winter.” Lots of rain in the lowlands, which can promote the development of floods. In addition, the forecasts overall point to a typical westerly weather winter and these are dangerous. “They are bringing us one storm after another,” warns qualified meteorologist Dominik Jung from wetter.net.

The weather map shows the expected precipitation deviation in the coming winter of 2024/25. The winter is expected to be significantly wetter than usual. © US Weather Authority NOAA

Weather in Germany: Experts fear a very warm and wet winter is imminent

The current weather maps from the NOAA CFS model expect December and February to be significantly too warm. The average temperatures could therefore be one to two degrees above the 30-year average from 1991 to 2020. As the weather expert classified, this was already a very warmer period. If you add another one or two degrees according to Jung, then it would be two very warm winter months.

Only in January is the positive deviation expected to be slightly lower at 0.5 to one degree. There is a lot of precipitation in all three months. “This creates the potential for flooding,” said Jung in his latest weather video.

wetter.net – the weather in a nutshell!

This article was created in a content partnership with wetter.net. wetter.net offers you everything you need to know about weather and climate. On our pages you will find worldwide city and location forecasts for the next 14 days, with a 1-hour time resolution for the first 7 days and a 3-hour time resolution for the following days. Weather forecasts, precipitation radar, measured values, weather warnings, Germany weather and weather news provide information about current developments as well as the coming hours and days.

Weather expert classifies: Many storms up to hurricanes possible

“As a rule, warm and moist air masses point to a classic: the western exposure. This means that lows with warm air masses and rain continue to move towards us from the Atlantic. However, there can also be storms and hurricanes,” explains weather and climate expert Dominik Jung. According to the expert, this could be a very strenuous and damaging winter. There have been a number of such warmer storm winters in the past few decades. According to Jung, they brought with them sometimes severe flooding and one or two very violent hurricanes.

Cyclist from behind on black ice
Many winter fans hope for the first snow, but when will the next big winter break come? (Symbolic image). © Sven Simon/Imago

However, the qualified meteorologist points out that this is not a classic weather forecast, but a weather trend from an experimental weather model. The CFS (Climate Forecast System) of the US weather agency NOAA tries to estimate whether months are warmer or colder. could be wetter or drier than the long-term average.

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