Top NFL Football Knockout, Survivor Pool Picks, Advice, Strategy for Week 1 2024: Avoid This Home Favorite

The Week 1 NFL schedule will feature three rookie quarterbacks making their NFL debut. Caleb Williams, selected with the No. 1 overall pick, will lead the Chicago Bears against the Tennessee Titans (+3.5) at Soldier Field, but the other two rookie playmakers will make their NFL debuts on the road. Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders travel to face Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay (-3.5), while Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos face the Seahawks (-6) in Seattle. Can you trust a rookie quarterback with your Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool picks?

A successful NFL Survivor Pool strategy is all about figuring out when to use a team and when to rest them. How can you avoid bad Week 1 NFL Knockout Pool picks while making sure you don’t lose out on strong teams that could be useful for NFL Eliminator Pool picks later in the season? Before you finalize your Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool picks, check out which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model has all the money on right now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 in top-rated NFL picks for $100 players since its launch. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run in top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It’s also on a 35-21 run in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 2022.

The model has been in the top 10 in pure NFL picks on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years and has beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em four times during that time. Anyone who has been following it ranks way up there.

Now it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 Survivor Pool pick. You can see who the model is backing this week only at SportsLine.

Top predictions for the NFL Survivor Pool in Week 1

In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model avoids the Miami Dolphins, even though they are coming off an 11-6 season and are favored against a Jaguars team that missed the playoffs at 9-8. The Dolphins had the league’s most explosive offense in 2023, but Miami’s defense allowed 23.0 points per game, which ranked 22nd in the NFL.

Jacksonville, on the other hand, is coming off a 9-8 season and played even better on the road last year when the Jags had a 5-3 record. The Jaguars missed the playoffs last season, but they can move the ball on offense. Jacksonville ranked ninth in the NFL last season with 242.7 passing yards per game and averaged 22.2 points per game. Considering the Jags have a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog on the road, there are better options for Week 1 NFL Knockout picks than the Dolphins. Here’s which team to choose instead.

How to Make Your NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 1

Instead, the model is betting on a surprising home team that wins handily in nearly 80% of simulations. Now is the time to bet on this team, and you can only watch the game at SportsLine.

Which surprise team is a must-have in your Week 1 survival pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team will lead you to victory in Week 1, all based on the advanced computer model that has consistently beaten the NFL and gained well over $7,000 since its inception.