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topicnews · September 20, 2024

US election: Polls show where Donald Trump and Kamala Harris stand

US election: Polls show where Donald Trump and Kamala Harris stand

The race for the US presidency between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remains even after the first Presidential debateespecially in the crucial Swing States – The swing states of Philadelphia and Pennsylvania, recently Surveys show.
According to Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling InstituteThe debate had minimal impact on the polls. He explained: “We’re at a point where it’s a matter of 10,000 voters here or there. That’s a point where the polls just can’t tell you anything. Polls are measured in feet and yards, and right now this is about inches.”
The post-debate Marist poll of Pennsylvania voters shows Harris and Trump tied at 49%, both numbers within the margin of error. The Philadelphia Inquirer, New York Times and Siena College post-debate poll is similar, with Harris receiving 50% and Trump 46%. This poll also highlights the gender divide in the race, with Harris receiving stronger support among older black voters than younger ones. Notably, 21% of black men under 50 planned to vote for Trump, while 72% intended to support Harris.
A recent poll by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research suggests Harris is viewed slightly more positively than she was in July, shortly after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race.
The poll was conducted before the alleged assassination attempt on Trump’s golf course in Florida and found that Trump’s popularity ratings remained stable.
About half of voters have a somewhat or very favorable opinion of Harris, while 44% have a somewhat or very unfavorable opinion. In contrast, six in 10 voters have a somewhat or very unfavorable opinion of Trump, and about four in 10 have a somewhat or very favorable opinion of him.
The poll also found that only about a third of voters believe the phrase “would change the country for the better” describes Trump or Harris extremely or very well, suggesting a lingering sense of pessimism among voters about their options in the race. Sean Luebbers, a high school history teacher in Upland, California, who supports Harris, expressed doubts about whether the election can resolve the country’s polarization, declaring, “Right now, you could call it triage. We can’t make things worse.”
Despite the challenges, the poll suggests some positive signs for Harris.
Voters are more likely to believe that Harris would make a good president than Trump. About half of voters expressed this opinion for Harris and only 36% for Trump. In addition, voters believe Harris has a better chance of winning the election in November, although a significant portion of voters believe the candidates are equally likely to win or have no opinion on the issue.